{"id":1313,"date":"2021-10-12T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-12T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"urn:uuid:d66ca544-6372-4809-95e2-b88ee21e547f"},"modified":"2021-10-12T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2021-10-12T00:00:00","slug":"noherujing-ji-xue-shang-2021-zi-ran-shi-yan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/?p=1313","title":{"rendered":"\u30ce\u30fc\u30d9\u30eb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8cde2021\u3000\u81ea\u7136\u5b9f\u9a13"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u30ce\u30fc\u30d9\u30eb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8cde\u306f\u3001\u300c\u81ea\u7136\u5b9f\u9a13 natural experiments\u300d\u306b\u4e0e\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/www.nobelprize.org\/prizes\/economic-sciences\/2021\/press-release\/<br \/>\n\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u3067\u306f\u5b9f\u9a13\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u8d77\u3053\u3063\u305f\u3001\u6761\u4ef6\u304c\u7570\u306a\u308b\u4e8b\u8c61\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3088\u3046\u306b\u5b9a\u91cf\u7684\u306a\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u5c0e\u3053\u3046\u3068\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002\u79fb\u6c11\u304c\u793e\u4f1a\u306b\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u5f71\u97ff\u3001\u6700\u4f4e\u8cc3\u91d1\u3092\u5909\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3069\u3046\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u304c\u52b4\u50cd\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3059\u52b9\u679c\u306a\u3069\u3067\u3059\u30021990\u5e74\u4ee3\u306b\u305d\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5e38\u8b58\u3092\u8986\u3059\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3068\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002\u75ab\u5b66\u3067\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u305f\u624b\u6cd5\u3092\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u306b\u5fdc\u7528\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002\u4e0b\u8a18wikipedia \u306b\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u53d7\u8cde\u8005\u306e\u4e00\u4ebaAngrist\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u304c\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Natural_experiment#Family_size<br \/>\n\u8981\u7d04\uff1a\u5b50\u4f9b\u306e\u6570\u3068\u6bcd\u89aa\u306e\u53ce\u5165\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u8abf\u3079\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u306a\u8981\u56e0\u304c\u7d61\u3080\u306e\u3067\u96e3\u3057\u3044\u554f\u984c\u3067\u3059\u3002Angrist\u3089\u306f\u7537\u5b502\u4eba\u307e\u305f\u306f\u5973\u5b502\u4eba\u306e\u5b50\u4f9b\u304c\u3044\u308b\u6bcd\u89aa\u306b\u306f\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306a\u3044\u6bcd\u89aa\u3088\u308a\u3082\u4e09\u4eba\u76ee\u3092\u4f5c\u308b\u7387\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u3001\u4ed6\u306e\u8981\u56e0\u3092\u305d\u308d\u3048\u30662\u4eba(\u7537\u5973\uff09\u30683\u4eba\uff08\u540c\u60272\u4eba\uff0b\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u4eba\uff09\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u53ef\u80fd\u306b\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3061\u3087\u3063\u3068\u9813\u667a\uff08\u3068\u3093\u3061\uff09\u307f\u305f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002<br \/>\n\u300c\u81ea\u7136\u5b9f\u9a13\u300d\u306fwikipedia\u306b\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306e\u5c64\u304c\u8584\u3044\u304b\u3001\u95a2\u5fc3\u304c\u4f4e\u3044\u304b\u3001\u3069\u3061\u3089\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002Polski(\u30dd\u30fc\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u8a9e\uff09\u3084Svenska\uff08\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u8a9e\uff09\u306f\u3042\u308b\u306e\u306b\u3001\u4e2d\u6587\u306f\u7c21\u4f53\u3082\u7e41\u4f53\u3082\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002\u3061\u3087\u3063\u3068\u4e0d\u601d\u8b70\u3067\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u4e0b\u8a18\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u30012019\u5e74\u306e\u30ce\u30fc\u30d9\u30eb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8cde\u3082\u81ea\u7136\u5b9f\u9a13\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/www.nri.com\/jp\/knowledge\/blog\/lst\/2019\/fis\/kashiwagi\/1018<\/p>\n<p>empirical \u30a8\u30f3\u300c\u30d4\u300d\u30ea\u30ab\u308b\u3000\u7d4c\u9a13\u7684\u3001\u5b9f\u8a3c\u7684\u3000\u3000\u53cd\u5bfe\u8a9e\u306f\u3000theoretical, nonempirical, unempirical<br \/>\ninductive \u5e30\u7d0d\u7684<br \/>\ndeductive \u6f14\u7e79\u7684<br \/>\nhaphazard \u30cf\u30d7\u300c\u30cf\u300d\u30b6\u30fc\u30c9\u3000\u5076\u7136\u3001\u5076\u7136\u306e\u3001\u3067\u305f\u3089\u3081\u306e<br \/>\nGiven the near-haphazard patchwork development of the water supply in mid-nineteenth century London, Snow viewed the developments as &ldquo;an experiment&hellip;on the grandest scale.&rdquo; (wikipedia \u304b\u3089\u3002Snow\u533b\u5e2b\u306f1854\u5e74\u306e\u30b3\u30ec\u30e9\u767a\u751f\u5730\u533a\u306e\u5206\u5e03\u304c\u6c34\u9053\u306e\u53d6\u6c34\u53e3\uff08\u6c34\u9053\u4f1a\u793e\u304c2\u793e\u3042\u3063\u305f\uff09\u3068\u4e0b\u6c34\u306e\u4f4d\u7f6e\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u4f9d\u5b58\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u767a\u898b\u3057\u305f\uff09<br \/>\nVietnam War draft lottery \u30d9\u30c8\u30ca\u30e0\u6226\u4e89\u5fb4\u5175\u304f\u3058<br \/>\n\u9813\u667a wit \u3068\u8a33\u3059\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3067\u3059\u3002\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u3001\u3088\u304f\u4f3c\u305f\u6982\u5ff5\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\ncausal relationship \u30b3\u30fc\u30b6\u308b\u3000\u56e0\u679c\u95a2\u4fc2<br \/>\nconventional wisdom \u4e16\u9593\u4e00\u822c\u306e\u901a\u5ff5<br \/>\n\u5c64\u304c\u539a\u3044\u3001\u306f\u4ee5\u524d have a plenty pool of &hellip;\u3092\u51fa\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u9078\u624b\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306f bench strength \u3082\u4f7f\u3048\u308b\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n http:\/\/eigoyasan.blog.fc2.com\/blog-entry-66.html<br \/>\n\u5c64\u304c\u8584\u3044\u3001\u306f Our bench is short. \u308f\u304c\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306e\u5c64\u306f\u8584\u3044\u3002\u304cALC web\u8f9e\u66f8\u306e\u4f8b\u6587\u306b\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u666e\u901a\u306b\u300c\u624d\u80fd\u3042\u308b\u4eba\u6750\u304c\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3000lacks talents \u3067\u3044\u3044\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u30ce\u30fc\u30d9\u30eb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8cde\u306f\u3001\u300c\u81ea\u7136\u5b9f\u9a13 natural experiments\u300d\u306b\u4e0e\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 https:\/\/www.nobelprize.org\/prizes\/economic-sciences\/2021\/press-release\/ \u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u3067\u306f\u5b9f\u9a13\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u8d77\u3053\u3063\u305f\u3001\u6761\u4ef6\u304c\u7570\u306a\u308b\u4e8b\u8c61\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3088\u3046\u306b\u5b9a\u91cf\u7684\u306a\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u5c0e\u3053\u3046\u3068\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002\u79fb\u6c11\u304c\u793e\u4f1a\u306b\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u5f71\u97ff\u3001\u6700\u4f4e\u8cc3\u91d1\u3092\u5909\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3069\u3046\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u304c\u52b4\u50cd\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3059\u52b9\u679c\u306a\u3069\u3067\u3059\u30021990\u5e74\u4ee3\u306b\u305d\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5e38\u8b58\u3092\u8986\u3059\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3068\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002\u75ab\u5b66\u3067\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u305f\u624b\u6cd5\u3092\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u306b\u5fdc\u7528\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002\u4e0b\u8a18wiki&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[52],"tags":[15],"class_list":["post-1313","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-economics"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1313","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1313"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1313\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1313"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1313"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1313"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}