{"id":1241,"date":"2021-06-29T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-29T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"urn:uuid:6156e55f-a29a-47e9-b51d-565f743afe2c"},"modified":"2021-06-29T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2021-06-29T00:00:00","slug":"zui-you-fa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/?p=1241","title":{"rendered":"\u6700\u5c24\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u653f\u5e9c\u306e\u300c\u5730\u9707\u672c\u90e8\u300d\u306b\u4f59\u9707\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u8a08\u7b97\u6cd5\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/www.jishin.go.jp\/reports\/research_report\/aftershock\/yoshin2_yoshin2\/<\/p>\n<p>Gutenberg-Richter\u5247(\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4f59\u9707\u307b\u3069\u6570\u304c\u5c11\u306a\u3044\uff09\u3084\u5927\u68ee\u516c\u5f0f\uff08\u6642\u9593\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u6e1b\u308b\uff09\u304c\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u3066\u3001\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u306b\u306f\u300c\u6700\u5c24\u6cd5\u300d\u304c\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u306b\u3082\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u7528\u8a9e\u3092\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u4f7f\u3046\u306e\u3067\u3001\uff17\u6708\u672b\u306e\u8b1b\u7fa9\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u82f1\u8a9e\u3092\u52c9\u5f37\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3059\u3002\u73fe\u4ee3\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u306f\u3061\u3083\u3093\u3068\u7fd2\u3063\u305f\u4eba\u306f\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u77e5\u3063\u3066\u304a\u3044\u305f\u65b9\u304c\u3044\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u79c1\u304c\u5b66\u751f\u306e\u6642\u7fd2\u3063\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3068\u306f\u3060\u3044\u3076\u9055\u3063\u3066\u9762\u767d\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/ja.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E6%9C%80%E5%B0%A4%E6%8E%A8%E5%AE%9A<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Maximum_likelihood_estimation<br \/>\n\u300c\u5c24\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6f22\u5b57\u306f\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u3067\u306f\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u3067\u3057\u304b\u4f7f\u308f\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002\u6f22\u5b57\u672c\u6765(\u4e2d\u56fd\u8a9e\u3067\u3082\uff09\u306f2\u3064\u610f\u5473\u304c\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3001especially, particularly\uff08\u3068\u308a\u308f\u3051\uff09 \u3068 to blame\uff08\u548e\u3081\u308b\uff09\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u3060\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u3067\u306f\u300c\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u3089\u3057\u3044 = likely\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u304c\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3060\u3051\u304c\u6b8b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/en.wiktionary.org\/wiki\/%E5%B0%A4#Chinese<br \/>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u8a9e\u3067\u306f\u300c\u6700\u5c24\u6cd5\u300d\u3068\u306f\u8a00\u308f\u306a\u3044\u307f\u305f\u3044\u306a\u306e\u3067\u9a5a\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E6%9C%80%E5%A4%A7%E4%BC%BC%E7%84%B6%E4%BC%B0%E8%AE%A1<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Gutenberg%E2%80%93Richter_law \u304b\u3089<br \/>\nM\u3092\u30de\u30b0\u30cb\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c9\u3001N\u3092\u983b\u5ea6\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3000N=10^(a-bM)\u3000\u304c\u6210\u308a\u7acb\u3061\u3001a,b\u306f\u5730\u57df\u3084\u6642\u671f\uff08\u5927\u5730\u9707\u304b\u3089\u306e\u7d4c\u904e\u6642\u9593\u7b49\uff09\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u7570\u306a\u308b\u3002<br \/>\nmagnitude \u5927\u304d\u3055\u3001\u5730\u9707\u306e\u30de\u30b0\u30cb\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c9<br \/>\nacoustic emission \u97f3\u97ff\u653e\u5c04<br \/>\nearthquake swarms\u3000\u7fa4\u767a\u5730\u9707<br \/>\nswarm\u3000\u30b9\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30e0\u3000\u3046\u3058\u3083\u3046\u3058\u3083\u3057\u305f\u7fa4\u308c<br \/>\nspatial and temporal variations \u7a7a\u9593\u30fb\u6642\u9593\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u3070\u3089\u3064\u304d<br \/>\nThe b-value decrease observed prior to the failure of samples deformed in the laboratory has led to the suggestion that this is a precursor to major macro-failure.<br \/>\n\u5b9f\u9a13\u5ba4\u3067\u306e\u8a66\u6599\u5909\u5f62\u306b\u3088\u308b\u7834\u58ca\u5b9f\u9a13\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001N=10^(a-bM)\u3067b\u304c\u6e1b\u5c11\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u5927\u7834\u58ca\u306e\u524d\u89e6\u308c\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\uff08\u2192\u5927\u304d\u3081\u306e\u5730\u9707\u304c\u6e1b\u308b\u304b\uff08\u7a7a\u767d\u57df\uff1f\uff09\u3001\u5f31\u3044\u5730\u9707\u304c\u5897\u3048\u308b\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\uff09<br \/>\nBut,application to earthquake forecasting is currently out of reach.  \u3057\u304b\u3057,\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u3068\u3053\u308d\u5730\u9707\u4e88\u77e5\u3078\u306e\u5fdc\u7528\u306b\u306f\u81f3\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002<br \/>\nA new generalization was published using Bayesian statistical techniques,from which an alternative form for parameter b of Gutenberg\u2013Richter is presented. \u3000G-R\u5247\u306e\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bfb\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u5225\u306e\u5f62\u5f0f\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7d71\u8a08\u306e\u6280\u6cd5\u3092\u7528\u3044\u305f\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u4e00\u822c\u5316\u6cd5\u304c\u51fa\u7248\u3055\u308c\u305f(2018)\u3002<br \/>\nalternative \u30aa\u308b\u30bf\u30fc\u30ca\u30c6\u30a3\u30f4\u3000\u5225\u306e\u3001\u4ee3\u308f\u308a\u306e<br \/>\n\u203b\u691c\u8a3c\u30fb\u5b9f\u9a13\u304c\u96e3\u3057\u3044\u5206\u91ce\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5730\u9707\u4e88\u77e5\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u307e\u3060\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u7814\u7a76\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u653f\u5e9c\u306e\u300c\u5730\u9707\u672c\u90e8\u300d\u306b\u4f59\u9707\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u8a08\u7b97\u6cd5\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 https:\/\/www.jishin.go.jp\/reports\/research_report\/aftershock\/yoshin2_yoshin2\/ Gutenberg-Richter\u5247(\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4f59\u9707\u307b\u3069\u6570\u304c\u5c11\u306a\u3044\uff09\u3084\u5927\u68ee\u516c\u5f0f\uff08\u6642\u9593\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u6e1b\u308b\uff09\u304c\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u3066\u3001\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u306b\u306f\u300c\u6700\u5c24\u6cd5\u300d\u304c\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u306b\u3082\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u7528\u8a9e\u3092\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u4f7f\u3046\u306e\u3067\u3001\uff17\u6708\u672b\u306e\u8b1b\u7fa9\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u82f1\u8a9e\u3092\u52c9\u5f37\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3059\u3002\u73fe\u4ee3\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u306f\u3061\u3083\u3093\u3068\u7fd2\u3063\u305f\u4eba\u306f\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u77e5\u3063\u3066\u304a\u3044\u305f\u65b9\u304c\u3044\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u79c1\u304c\u5b66\u751f\u306e\u6642\u7fd2\u3063\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3068\u306f\u3060\u3044\u3076\u9055\u3063\u3066\u9762\u767d\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,42],"tags":[11,5],"class_list":["post-1241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-spaceandearth","category-tech","tag-spaceandearth","tag-tech"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1241","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1241"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1241\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1241"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1241"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sekaiken.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1241"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}